What’s Coming (July 28–31, 2025)
Pakistan is bracing for a Stronger Monsoon Spell to Hit Pakistan from July 28 expected to surpass the earlier rains in both volume and intensity. This marks the fifth monsoon spell of the season and is forecast to bring heavy to very heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and strong winds across multiple regions
Region-by-Region Forecast
Punjab (including Islamabad & Rawalpindi)
- Widespread rain expected from July 28 to 31, with major urban centers like Lahore, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Sialkot, Faisalabad, and Jhelum facing heavy to very heavy downpours.
- PDMA warns of flash flooding in local nullahs, plus urban floods in low-lying neighborhoods
- Hilly zones like Murree and the Galiyat region are at elevated risk of landslides and road blockages.
Khyber Pakhtunkhwa (KP) & Gilgit‑Baltistan (GB)
- Rain, windstorms, and possible cloudbursts expected from July 28 to 31. Particularly vulnerable are Swat, Chitral, Dir, Kaghan/Naran, and GB mountainous areas.
- Authorities have already issued warnings about glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) and landslides, citing accelerated snowpack and glacier melt.https://elevenpakistan.com/
Sindh & Balochistan
- Sindh is forecast to receive showering rains on July 30–31, with possible variability depending on local systems.
- Balochistan is set to see rain and thunderstorms from July 29 to July 31, especially in northeast and southern districts.
Risks & Expected Impacts
- Flash floods likely in mountain torrents, upper tributaries, and hillside nullahs.
- Urban flooding in major city low-lying areas—especially in Punjab’s cities—due to heavy rain overwhelming drainage.
- Landslides remain a serious threat in Murree, Galiyat, GB, and northern KP, jeopardizing road access and safety.
- Vulnerable or loosely built structures—particularly kachcha houses, rooftop solar panels, billboards, and electric poles—may sustain damage.
- Indus and Chenab rivers—especially at Taunsa and Chashma barrages—are being closely watched; rising flows could threaten downstream flood zones.
Monsoon Toll & Context So Far
- The 2025 monsoon season has already claimed 266 lives across Pakistan by July 25.
- Regional death tolls:
- Punjab: 144
- KP: 63
- Sindh: 25
- Balochistan: 16
- Gilgit‑Baltistan & Islamabad: 8 each
- Azad Kashmir: 2
- Injuries tally over 633; more than 1,158 houses destroyed and over 366 livestock lost.Wikipedia
Safety Measures & Advice
- Stay alert to PMD updates and local PDMA alerts via TV, radio, and official channels.
- Avoid travel in hilly terrain during heavy rain spells; roads may be blocked or washed out.
- Stay indoors in low-lying urban areas; don’t drive through flooded streets.
- Secure property—especially windows, solar panels, and temporary structures—and avoid loose or damaged buildings.
- Have emergency contacts at hand, including Rescue 1122, PDMA helplines, and local officials.
Why This Spell Is Concerning
- It’s forecast to be stronger than previous monsoon spells during this season
- The arrival of a westerly wave around July 29 may further intensify rainfall, especially across Punjab, KP, and Balochistan
- With standstill drainage systems in many cities and structural vulnerabilities in mountainous communities, the risks of sudden floods and landslides are amplified.
In Summary
- A strongest monsoon spell yet will sweep across Pakistan from July 28 to July 31, 2025.
- All provinces—especially Punjab, KP, GB, Sindh, and Balochistan—will face heavy, potentially destructive rainfall.
- Flooding, landslides, urban inundation, and infrastructure damage are likely.
- Stay informed, avoid risky areas, and heed all weather advisories until the spell ends
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